US losing its geopolitical dominance?

[Martin Everson]

"it may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal" - Henry Kissinger

Canada and Mexico learning the hard way .

I wonder if after this 25% slap that America made on them they will go back into an intimate relationship with America like abused wife?

I can say that in my part of the world the US government is not at all respected but only feared and that is a big difference. It's geopolitical dominance will fail when the fear of America reduces over time. Canada and Mexico both need to diversify there trading relationships just like China. As trade with America only makes up around 15% of China's total exports.

https://tradingeconomics.com/china/exports-by-country

Whereas Mexico and Canada make up 34% of US exports and China only 7.1% for a combined amount of 41.1% of US exports. That could be a big hit to US exports if this is not worked out....lol.

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/exports-by-country

Bottom line Trump made a geopolitical faux pas in the tariff war and is already back tracking on some of them....

Trump Pares Back Canada, Mexico Tariffs in Latest Whipsaw on Trade​

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/oth...ariffs-in-latest-whipsaw-on-trade/ar-AA1ApgIg

 

[melzvy]

P.S What you are seeing with Trump is the naked face of US imperialism/capitalism and its last desperate attempts to assert its will and maintain its hegemony in what is becoming an empire in terminal geopolitical and economic decline in a coming multi-polar world.

This!..

Also to add to the last comment ("re-worded" with Grok AI):

"History suggests a pattern where democracies, sensing their decline, morph into empires or tyrannies in a futile attempt to halt the fall. They might delay it, but not stop it, often with wars marking the process. This unraveling stretches over years—typically 5 to 10—not months or a couple of years."

The key question is, knowing this pattern, what are we doing in the side of the 'emerging powers' to capitalize on what’s coming, or at least preserve our way of life, so we’re not caught off guard when the shift happens?

 

[wonderfulboy]

You are leaving out the most important reason for US dominiance - the fact that back in the day it collected a lot/most gold from the rest of the world and persuaded other countries to use USD as reserve currency.
From there on, by printing=deflating dollars and "selling" them to the rest of the world, they are collecting wealth from everybody holding a dollar.

Bitcoin is changing this.

let's hope bitcoin is changing this.

 

[Martin Everson]

Well the US empire has now resorted to theft of foreign countries assets through the courts.

Missouri judge finds Chinese government liable for $24B in damages for ‘hoarding’ protective equipment during COVID pandemic​

https://nypost.com/2025/03/07/us-ne...g-protective-equipment-during-covid-pandemic/

--- quote start

“China refused to show up to court, but that doesn’t mean they get away with causing untold suffering and economic devastation,” Bailey said. “We intend to collect every penny by seizing Chinese-owned assets, including Missouri farmland.”

--- quote end

Well the Saudi's will be next and probably blamed for 9/11 I guess. Also DeepSeek has exposed U.S tech firms wanting to dominate AI space. Money has been flowing into China stocks.

China’s top tech stocks add $439bn as ‘Mag 7’ sink​

https://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/international/chinas-top-tech-stocks-add-439bn-as-mag-seven-sink/

--- quote start

A $439 billion rally in Chinese tech megacaps this year has left their once-unbeatable US peers in the dust, an outperformance that many investors say has room to extend.

An equal-weighted basket of China’s seven tech heavyweights including Alibaba Group Holding and Tencent Holdings — dubbed the “7 titans” by Societe Generale SA — has gained more than 40% this year. That compares with an about 10% drop in an index of the Magnificent Seven stocks, whose slump has also pushed the Nasdaq 100 Index to the brink of a correction.

-- quote end


I think the U.S may start seizing U.S Treasuries and other assets held by Sovereign states such as Saudi Arabia and China with court rulings. I mean the man still wants to take over Gaza, Greenland and make Canada 51st state etc....lol. Trump must be a Russian asset as evreything he is doing is to isolate US from its closest allies and destroy US credibilty on wold stage .

To me its clear that the U.S wants to ensure all countries around it and close allies are made into puppet regimes to serve the U.S best interest at a cost to their own economies. Geopltically the way they are going about it with Tariffs and seizures is thuggish. It is literally the actions of a banana republic....lol

 

[wellington]

BTC acts like leveraged NDX after 2019

Nah, BTC is correlated with Global Liquidity @94% (like NDX) each time Global Liquidity rises 1% - BTC follows roughly 8-12 weeks later with a 15% move.

Gold likewise is correlated with Global Liquidity but it's move is 9/10% for each 1% in Global Liquidity, the reason BTC is more 'volatile' is because its both 'technology' as well as 'monetary-inflation' hedge - note its not a variable inflation hedge (high - street).

So BTC will rise until it doesn't at that point the Dollar/Pound or what ever would be relaunched as something new and BTC will price against that.

 

[JackAlabama]

Nah, BTC is correlated with Global Liquidity @94% (like NDX) each time Global Liquidity rises 1% - BTC follows roughly 8-12 weeks later with a 15% move.

Gold likewise is correlated with Global Liquidity but it's move is 9/10% for each 1% in Global Liquidity, the reason BTC is more 'volatile' is because its both 'technology' as well as 'monetary-inflation' hedge - note its not a variable inflation hedge (high - street).

So BTC will rise until it doesn't at that point the Dollar/Pound or what ever would be relaunched as something new and BTC will price against that.

well said.

 

[FATCA]

Nah, BTC is correlated with Global Liquidity @94% (like NDX) each time Global Liquidity rises 1% - BTC follows roughly 8-12 weeks later with a 15% move.

Gold likewise is correlated with Global Liquidity but it's move is 9/10% for each 1% in Global Liquidity, the reason BTC is more 'volatile' is because its both 'technology' as well as 'monetary-inflation' hedge - note its not a variable inflation hedge (high - street).

So BTC will rise until it doesn't at that point the Dollar/Pound or what ever would be relaunched as something new and BTC will price against that.

So can you predict BTC and NDX price on mid May? Why aren't you a billionaire?