Looks like the corporate back rate lending CLOs imploding

[Nicholas Van Orton]

Mentioned before.

- Terminal (Geopolitical/Macro system & news)
- Bloomberg Terminal (Geopolitical/Macro system & news)
- Capital Wars Substack (Liquidity)
- Real Vision (Macro Interviews/Views)
- Few Dozen or so other Substacks or subscriptions ranging from Santiago Research to Marc Faber

All in about 250k a year (used commercially)

But for solid information with most feeding into one without the massive costs i'd say Terminal as its automated (dynamic) macro charts/indicators coupled with on-demand AI processing and about 300 bucks a year.

I for one would NEVER ever recommend anything Raoul (grift)Pal touches, ie, Real Vision (founder). A waste of time and money from the "going IRRESPONSIBLY long ETH @4k". Just saying.

There are few but extremely good FREE accounts on Twitter that will provide you with more and better info than any of the posted links, bar the Bloomberg terminal for its obvious useful purpose on information gathering. Just like here in the forum, there are selfless and generous people sharing knowledge with others, I'd start finding them there.

NVO

 

[wellington]

Think that’s more directed to Raouls view which as a macro (long term trader) depends on where it is in a few years

 

[wellington]

Setting that aside - is the hundreds of other macro investors / day traders / specific market segment analyzers that are on real-vision annually

 

[JosephLL]

If you understood liquidity (i don't mean M2) and followed total global liquidity and shadow monetary base, you'd have known in September that 6 trillion (QE/YCC) was being drawn out in the US and 3 % of Total Global Liquidity was being drained.

Translation 1% Total Global Liquidity = 15% BTC move + or -
You'd also know the correlation is 84% and that the remainder is 'Sentiment', 'Gold' and 'Gold Feedback' with that in mind and knowledge that it takes ~13 weeks to hit the markets, and in additional localized-(globalized) macro impacts (Trump) you'd know you'd should start DCA'ing into Dollar(s)/Other, and then you'd have booked value.
You'd also know in early Jan that Total Global Liquidity commenced a re-rise and has only recently surpassed prior September highs and you'd be able to judge when that's going to hit the price point, you'd also be able to map out the FCI (Financial Conditions) alongside ISM (Business Cycle) with a lead of 9m of current and 22m into the future as the markets lag impacts that happened 3 months ago, 9 months ago, 18 months ago and 22 months ago.

Meaning you'd be- able to book solid profits with the left tail risk taken out.

But sure you can always DCA in.

What is the definition of that mysterious term "global liquidity"? I guess "money creation" is a forbidden term now like "cabala" right? How do you measure it? I guess, you are awara that reserves do not circulate among non-banks and that all money is created by the private banks exclusively, except in exceptional circumstances, and 2008 was not one. However, 2021 was indeed one, when this radioactive reactor broke and (unlawfully) FED injected 6T using SPV...

 

[wellington]

What is the definition of that mysterious term "global liquidity"? I guess "money creation" is a forbidden term now like "cabala" right? How do you measure it? I guess, you are awara that reserves do not circulate among non-banks and that all money is created by the private banks exclusively, except in exceptional circumstances, and 2008 was not one. However, 2021 was indeed one, when this radioactive reactor broke and (unlawfully) FED injected 6T using SPV...

Pay for Capital Wars substack, you'll get a good grounding or read that: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392872

 

[Don]

@wellington, how do you hedge against currency risks? (if you do at all?)

SP500 recent drop measured in euros is even deeper.

 

[wellington]

@wellington, how do you hedge against currency risks? (if you do at all?)

SP500 recent drop measured in euros is even deeper.

View attachment 9016

I mean - gold was the obvious choice?

 

[369]

Not recession but hyper stagflation on purpose.

Once there will be high stagflation they will flood the market with cheap money again and maybe their digital money with high negative interest to force spending to stimulate the market.
However this will create a second wave of even higher inflation as the first one and the result of even higher interest rates than last time will break most debt holders the neck.

 

[wellington]

You mean the current economic position?

If so thats Liquidity AirGap (Sep) and Tariffs.

 

[cryptofriendly]

Selling US Bonds = Receiving Dollars = Now where does he offload his Dollars?

Looks like gold and prepping up HK/Shanghai stock market so far.

And trying to boost domestic consumption: https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202503/1330238.shtml