So, what do you guys think, now that we have this Coronavirus mess? I for one am disappointed with the performance of Bitcoin, literally shitting the market, losing 55%+ of its value in just 48 hours in the middle of global lockdown introduction and stocks crash. The discussion now is coupling of
crypto with traditional stock markets - which crypto was supposed to hedge against. Even with money printing going full speed in Murrica , EU, Japan and many others - bitcoin et al are still down. Not a great first impression for what was supposed to be a safe haven and "born for crisis"
I also fell a bit for this story and now realized that really isn't the case. You could've seen many gold bugs promoting gold as the only real money and the proper hedge; then you could've seen the same to happen with Bitcoin as it is talked about by youtubers and podcasters.
I still hold Bitcoin, I like it, I see its future positive, I know I can survive the crashes (if I can't time them...). However it is probably too small to switch from current monetary system to P2P crypto.
The markets aren't about value, in extreme situations they go up and down depending on liquidity.
You complain Bitcoin crashed 55%+ but honestly I believe stocks would've also crashed 55%+ if there weren't preventive measures - circuit breakers were triggered like 3x per days for 2 or 3 days if I remember; Fed announced crazy and unlimited actions; there is still international demand for
US dollar and US-debt so the dollar cannot really lose value so easily.
Bitcoin has nothing like that, it is pure market - so ceteris paribus actually Bitcoin can survive such crashes
better than stocks.
There are many mutual funds, pension funds, algorithmic ETFs - they follow some rules and when a condition is met (or they have obligation to pay), they sell all accross the board, no matter if a stock has value or not. One sale triggers another and everything crashes - not just stocks but even gold.
Also you probably imagine "money printing" incorrectly, what is happening or will happen isn't really money printing as people could imagine it from Venezuela or Weimar
Germany... I believe deflationary spiral is more likely than hyperinflation. There is a lot of debt in the financial system, basically the #1 export item of the United States is debt and consumption.
There isn't really some insane "money printing" in Europe or Japan. Japan has been in a strange situation for the past 30-40 years, central bank tries to inflate the economy but inflation is near zero, they end up with nationalizing the economy and central bank owning everything. Eurozone could follow the same path with some delay, plus there are regional problems between countries.