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Betfair thinks that Trump is about 5 times more likely to win than Biden

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He is not a favorite, a betting site is not a reflection of who is the favorite, that is a farce, the working class hicks in work boots in the US favor Trump. Why? He is the demagogue, a life long democrat billionaire from NY, that has now dumbed himself down talking about the length of other mens genitals (Arnold Palmer in the showers) at his rallies, promising to fix the US by being hard on adversaries, bringing back manufacturing jobs that left 50 years ago, and stopping the invasion of illegal immigrants.

In reality, he will do none of that, because it is simply impossible, he will cater to his backers and his own interests. The other side is no better, promising more gender neutral bathrooms, hand outs to the poor, and more progressive immigration policies and higher taxes on the rich, of which they will do none of as well.

However, the difference is, the other side, not Trump, has the vote of the most populated cities and the areas of the US which have the highest % of GDP (73% of US GDP is SF, LA, Chicago, and NYC). His backers are as a whole poorer than the technocrat democrat backers that make up the world's largest percentage of wealth in big tech, AI, and semi-conductors.

The democrats are providing more value with the CHIPS act to the asset rich. A historic shift in US history whereby hte government takes a direct role in business, similar to China, which has surpassed the US in every relevant metric in a mere 20 years with central planning that is being mimicked by the CHIPS act.
 
I don't need good luck. I am not invested emotionally in candidates based on their carefully curated image in the media or what they promise the gullible commoners. Voting is also irrelevent. The reality is that the US is at a historic cross roads and one side has a better plan for the asset rich to profit from what remains of US hegemony. The other side is providing less value and is catering to the status quo, the same status quo that has very poor investment returns and is wholly defeated by globalization.
 
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He is not a favorite, a betting site is not a reflection of who is the favorite, that is a farce, the working class hicks in work boots in the US favor Trump.
Whatever. We know you’re leaning towards Kamala.

There’s no way she will win. She failed to convince enough citizens to vote for her.

I mean… Look at the views and like ratio (I know it is not the absolute metric to determine a candidate’s likelihood of winning) between the interviews with Harris (Shannon Sharpe) and Trump (Joe Rogan).

If she ever goes to Joe Rogan’s podcast and the like ratio is absolutely atrocious like Sharpe I would put all my money on Trump winning
 
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Are you sure that these votes come from actual citizens and that they are correctly counted? :rolleyes:
Most elections around the world aren’t fair anyway so yeah you know what the answer is.

Blue states that don’t require voter ID know damn well what they are doing. I saw a twitter post about a French national that traveled to the state of California and voted for Trump rof/%rof/%
 
I saw a twitter post about a French national that traveled to the state of California and voted for Trump rof/%rof/%
Joe Frazier voted (presumably for Biden) in 2020. Perhaps this time he will invite Muhammad Ali to the polling station as well.....
It is no wonder that ~5% of the votes can still be stolen but this time the trick won't work. 5 % won't be enough next week.
 
Presidents are just puppets, I lean towards profits, I don't like Kamala or Trump, neither are relevant, I don't vote or have the ability too, nor would I if I could. The US is a corporate kleptocracy, politics are led by money, not by the citizens.
 
Because they let Harris start doing interviews.
and now she stopped giving interviews? ;) or what is the reason for the recent equalizing trend?
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and now she stopped giving interviews? ;) or what is the reason for the recent equalizing trend?
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I have seen numerous posts that Polymarket is being manipulated. Wisconsin, for example, had zero bets for almost a day, then thousands were placed in a matter of minutes. Not unthinkable that people from the campaign are using it to sway opinion...

Maybe Betfair is a better indicator as it's not used in the USA. So Tampon Tims campaign staffers aren't place $50k bets on Kamala at regular intervals.
 
and now she stopped giving interviews? ;) or what is the reason for the recent equalizing trend?
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PolyMarket is dog *hit, it's a for-profit gambling platform that caters to crypto users. It has massive wash trading to create the illusion of size and usage and obviously the motivation to manipulate the "market" for profits. Also, all betting sites are used in US with VPNs and various other ways including proxy accounts. The supposed "predictions" are meaningless...
 
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