Long Term
Investing for Octogenarians
When you get to be over 80, "long term investing" doesn't make much sense.
One of my smart young neighbors here in Manila BGC wanted me to put some money into his excellent investing strategy:
What’s that?
A major shopping mall called Market Market is being torn down. It will definitely be replaced in about 3-5 years with an even bigger mall, apartments, and more importantly, a major subway transit station.
He (IMO anyway) correctly predicts that the apartments now for sale across the street – for sale at around$300-$400 will easily double in value . He is going into highly leveraged deals
for as many as he can buy with little or no money down. Existing rents should cover holding costs with a slight negative
cash flow. He needs investors.
To make a long story short, a 30% annual return (in Pesos or dollars) is all but assured. Should I (or YOU?) go into this deal with him?
It depends:
If my life expectancy was 20 years or more, maybe yes. But as it is, what difference will it make if when the deals mature I am in my 90's – very likely to be in heaven.
I write this to let Offshore Corp's more mature members that common sense dictates that "long term investing" may not be for you.